Bayesian regularisation in geoadditive expectile regression
نویسندگان
چکیده
Abstract Regression classes modeling more than the mean of the response have found a lot of attention in the last years. Expectile regression is a special and computationally convenient case of this family of models. Expectiles offer a quantile-like characterisation of a complete distribution and include the mean as a special case. In the frequentist framework the impact of a lot of covariates with very different structures have been made possible. We propose Bayesian expectile regression based on the asymmetric normal distribution. This renders possible incorporating for example linear, nonlinear, spatial and random effects in one model as well as Bayesian regularization. Furthermore a detailed inference on the estimated parameters can be conducted. Proposal densities based on iteratively weighted least squares updates for the resulting Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) simulation algorithm are proposed and the potential of the approach for extending the flexibility of expectile regression towards Spike-and-Slab regularization as well as complex semiparametric regression specifications is discussed.
منابع مشابه
On confidence intervals for semiparametric expectile regression
In regression scenarios there is a growing demand for information on the conditional distribution of the response beyond the mean. In this scenario quantile regression is an established method of tail analysis. It is well understood in terms of asymptotic properties and estimation quality. Another way to look at the tail of a distribution is via expectiles. They provide a valuable alternative s...
متن کاملHigh-dimensional Structured Additive Regression Models: Bayesian Regularisation, Smoothing and Predictive Performance
Data structures in modern applications frequently combine the necessity of flexible regression techniques such as nonlinear and spatial effects with high-dimensional covariate vectors. While estimation of the former is typically achieved by supplementing the likelihood with a suitable smoothness penalty, the latter are usually assigned shrinkage penalties that enforce sparse models. In this pap...
متن کاملNonparametric Multiple Expectile Regression via ER-Boost
Expectile regression (Newey & Powell 1987) is a nice tool for estimating the conditional expectiles of a response variable given a set of covariates. Expectile regression at 50% level is the classical conditional mean regression. In many real applications having multiple expectiles at different levels provides a more complete picture of the conditional distribution of the response variable. Mul...
متن کاملAnalysing farmland rental rates using Bayesian geoadditive quantile regression
Empirical studies on farmland rental rates have predominantly concentrated on modelling conditional means using spatial autoregressive models, where a linear functional form between the response and the covariates is usually assumed. However, if it is in fact non-linear, misspecifying the functional form can adversely affect inference. While mean regression models only allow limited insights in...
متن کاملBayesian semiparametric additive quantile regression
Quantile regression provides a convenient framework for analyzing the impact of covariates on the complete conditional distribution of a response variable instead of only the mean. While frequentist treatments of quantile regression are typically completely nonparametric, a Bayesian formulation relies on assuming the asymmetric Laplace distribution as auxiliary error distribution that yields po...
متن کاملذخیره در منابع من
با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید
برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید
ثبت ناماگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید
ورودعنوان ژورنال:
- Statistics and Computing
دوره 27 شماره
صفحات -
تاریخ انتشار 2017